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  • Tue, 17 Jul 2018 09:09:08 +0000
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major earthquake forecasting

Chinese Proverb: "The person whom says it can not be done - should not interrupt the person doing it."

Major quake alerts are a subscription-only product, and are charged at 1% of gross annual income - for both corporate and private clients. Alerts can usually be issued 6-48 hours ahead of a major (M6/M7+) earthquake occuring, with a success rate in excess of 85%. Success is judged as correctly forecasting one or more major quakes occurring (before they happen), and also correctly forecasting the lack, or absence, of such quakes. Refunds can be issued on the basis of unused whole months: i.e. If your subscription is terminated 3-months before it expires, you will receive a refund equivalent to 3x (1/12) of the amount paid. Please contact info@eissco.co.uk for further information.

latest Å171 solar image

Source: nasa (sdo)

SDO 171

dashboard

DASHBOARD

earthquake stats

PREV 24-48 M3+ ENERGY PREV 24-48 M3+ ACTIVITY PREV 7-DAYS EQ PREV-7 ENERGY

yesterday's top-10 earthquakes

Data: emsc-scem

date time (utc) lat long depth (km) magnitude location
2018-07-16 15:18:37 -61.44 155.2 2 5.8 BALLENY ISLANDS REGION
2018-07-16 14:03:11 -30.83 -177.98 20 5.2 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND
2018-07-16 19:34:19 14.45 146.93 21 5 ROTA REGION, N. MARIANA ISLANDS
2018-07-16 19:34:13 36.43 140.6 64 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2018-07-16 10:29:53 -35.54 -73.34 10 4.8 OFFSHORE MAULE, CHILE
2018-07-16 21:42:09 19.4 -155.28 0 4.7 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
2018-07-16 13:39:23 -8.24 107.6 19 4.7 JAVA, INDONESIA
2018-07-16 07:16:34 -6.36 143.13 10 4.7 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
2018-07-16 02:51:57 35.51 141.08 30 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2018-07-16 01:51:22 -0.84 -91.11 1 4.7 GALAPAGOS ISLANDS, ECUADOR

yesterday's active / va-producing volcanoes

Data: bom.gov.au

dtg vaac volcano lat/long location av code remark
20180716/2315Z BUENOS AIRES SABANCAYA S1547 W07150 PERU RED INTERMITTENT STRONG PUFF
20180716/2340Z DARWIN DUKONO N0141 E12753 INDONESIA ORANGE CONTINUOUS VA EMISSIONS TO FL060
20180716/2215Z DARWIN KRAKATAU S0606 E10525 INDONESIA ORANGE CONTINUOUS WEAK EMISSIONS TO FL040 LAST OBS 16/1550Z.
20180716/1330Z DARWIN AGUNG S0821 E11530 INDONESIA ORANGE MINOR VA EMISSION TO FL140 OBS AT 16/1200Z MOV E.
20180716/2228Z TOKYO SAKURAJIMA N3136 E13039 JAPAN NIL VA AT 20180716/2100Z FL070 EXTD NW
20180716/1902Z TOKYO KARYMSKY N5403 E15927 RUSSIA NIL POSS ERUPTION OBS AT 20180716/1750Z FL170 EXTD SW OBS VA DTG: 16/1820Z
20180716/2157Z WASHINGTON REVENTADOR S0004 W07739 ECUADOR N/A VA EMS APRX 2035Z
20180716/1914Z WASHINGTON NEGRA, SIERRA S0049 W09110 GALAPAGOS N/A ONGOING LGT VA EMS
20180716/2119Z WELLINGTON AOBA S1524 E16750 VANUATU UNKNOWN ERUPTION AT 20180716/1640Z

space weather

current summary

Source: noaa swpc

SPWX SUMMARY GRAPHIC

electron flux

Source: noaa swpc

SPWX SUMMARY GRAPHIC

timeline

Source: noaa swpc

NOAA SPWX ALERTS TIMELINE GRAPHIC

3-day forecast

sga report

neo asteroid information

nasa discovery stats

  1. cumulative total
  2. discoveries by survey

current ±30-days & ≤5ld list

legend

green background indicates new entry = new discovery / announcement
grey background indicates close-approach already happened
yellow background indicates close-approach ≤1ld (384,000 km = 238,606) mi
red background indicates close-approach <= 100,000 miles from surface
'Late' detection = first observation occurred after, or on same day, as close-approach

main table

Total: 9 (-1) | Late detections: 6 (66%) | Source: nasa / jpl

asteroid ca date ca dist.(nom). ca dist.(min). v.rel
(km/s)
v.inf
(km/s)
h estimated
diam.
altitude
(miles).
late
detection?
(2018 MC7) 2018-Jun-18 09:44 ± 00:01 2.19 | 0.00564 2.17 | 0.00557 5.24 5.15 25.8 19m-42m 520,307
(2018 NL) 2018-Jun-28 20:17 ± 00:03 1.42 | 0.00364 1.39 | 0.00356 8.37 8.28 25.0 27m-60m 334,396
(2018 NH) 2018-Jul-02 17:31 ± < 00:01 1.13 | 0.00290 1.12 | 0.00289 22.24 22.20 24.6 33m-73m 265,609
(2018 MB7) 2018-Jul-04 08:36 ± 00:40 2.78 | 0.00714 2.75 | 0.00706 11.64 11.61 23.8 47m-110m 659,741  
(2018 NU) 2018-Jul-06 18:40 ± < 00:01 2.42 | 0.00621 2.41 | 0.00619 9.76 9.71 25.8 19m-42m 573,292
(2018 NJ) 2018-Jul-07 00:58 ± < 00:01 2.37 | 0.00609 2.37 | 0.00608 6.03 5.96 27.7 7.6m-17m 562,138  
(2018 NX) 2018-Jul-07 18:12 ± < 00:01 0.30 | 0.00078 0.30 | 0.00078 4.15 3.23 27.7 7.7m-17m 68,542
(2018 NW) 2018-Jul-08 03:12 ± < 00:01 0.32 | 0.00083 0.32 | 0.00083 21.26 21.11 27.8 7.2m-16m 73,190
(2018 NM) 2018-Jul-17 05:38 ± 00:33 1.40 | 0.00359 1.38 | 0.00356 6.73 6.62 26.4 14m-31m 329,748  

nasa periods

See Wikipedia article on provisional designation.

A B C D E F G H J K L M
Jan 1-15 Jan 16-31 Feb 1-15 Feb 16-29 Mar 1-15 Mar 16-31 Apr 1-15 Apr 16-30 May 1-15 May 16-31 Jun 1-15 Jun 16-30
N O P Q R S T U V W X Y
Jul 1-15 Jul 16-31 Aug 1-15 Aug 15-31 Sep 1-15 Sep 16-31 Oct 1-15 Oct 16-31 Nov 1-15 Nov 16-30 Dec 1-15 Dec 16-31

solar imagery

lasco c3

Source: nasa (soho)

lasco c2

Source: nasa (soho)

sdo Å193

Source: nasa (sdo)

All movies presented above are downloaded from nasa and re-processed with ffmpeg for browser-compatibility and bandwith-reduction purposes.

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Updated: Tue 17 Jul 06:00:14 BST 2018